Stress Loans:
Will banks be unwilling to give loans to 'fair' companies?
It is said that
business is not done by 'self' investment but by 'borrowed' money from banks
and individual investors. It is primarily banks & other financial
institutions that extend lending facility as they are meant for this purpose.
But they themselves are in a BUSINESS & business, of course, means profit.
In last two decades,
as the Indian economy opened up, banks & other institutions helped in
achieving GDP growth by extending facility to old & new business to expand
further. Bust as it is said, every coin has two sides - positive &
negative.
It is seen of late by
published data that some seems to be taking undue advantage of
this opportunity. This gets validated by many facts like when one hears
that 'someone' did not pay back his loan. It becomes more serious
when collateral are not worthy ensuring to recover loans given. If it
is due to failure of business or due to other genuine reasons, perhaps it can
be discounted but when, judicial system is misused to defer recovery or
not at all to pay back dues, it is matter of concern. Unfortunately, such cases
are not the exceptions, but regularly seen incidences. You may be
surprised to know that approx 90% of defaulters, challenge the recovery
proceedings in courts. Because of these reasons, there is a surge in bad debt.
It is not only individuals but big corporates which have in a planned
manner borrowed money from banks and defaulted, it seems.
Resultantly, NPAs (Non-performing
Assets) of domestic banks has swollen to 3.6% at the financial year 2012-13.
Current trends give all indication that it is increasing, further. Estimates
are that 'bad' loans go to the tune of 7% of total loans & advances by
March-15, as per report by RBI.
This estimation gets
more roots from another fact. Of late, banks are flooded with CDRs (Corporate
Debt Restructuring). If we look at CDRs, the amount recast by banks is
increasing by leaps & bounds. It stands at 2.72 trillion at the end of
Sept-13, up by 19% in July-13. By Sept-13, restructured loans stand at 6% of
total advances - leading to rise in proportion of 'Stressed Loans' i e. gross
NPA + CDR to 10.2% of total advances by Sept-13.
By drawing attention
to above facts, I want to make the point that the nuisances of
liberalization can be seen in deliberate acts of some individuals or
organisations.
The worrying point
here is that good & fairs individuals or organisations which want to have
access to easy money to build their businesses will be shooed away.
For sure, the given experience will make banks more 'opaque' in extending such
facilities. It can be seen on our face, when we see that banks are getting
proactive in going after bad loans and deep 'intentional' checks before giving
loans. Banks may start looking at initial stress in loans, debarring
organisations from further debt.
The RBI guidelines
issued recently is something on those lines. A discussion paper, the
central bank, has released in Dec-13 where it has advised for early detection of
financial stress. It suggested that if a loan is overdue by 30 days, it should
be classified as a 'Special Mention Account' as against 90 days,
currently.
Further, any increase in such cases wherein deliberate attempts are made by either individual borrower
or organisation; it will make banks more stringent on giving
loans. Perhaps more delay in sanctioning or disbursement of loans;
leading to non-availability of funds for real business reasons.
These changes will
drastically impact business environment in the country, already
which is in stress due to policy paralysis. Let, such things do not occur
in our country, enabling its citizen better living.
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ReplyDeleteVery true sir. Observed something similar myself. My previous car loan was done without any hassle but when even after clearing the same approached the bank for a new one, I have to face the stress.
ReplyDeleteLots of preliminary checks, stringent guilines, tons of paper work and what not.
Thanks Sachin for your comments. You are right. Getting a loan may become tough, as banks may try checking every possible fact to ensure loan recovery. Applicable for both individual or organisation.
ReplyDelete